Friday, November 5, 2010

Mike Huckabee and the 2012 New Hampshire Primary

A new CNN poll released two days after the 2010 mid-term elections shows Mike Huckabee leading the pack of potential GOP presidential candidates for 2012. So how would Huckabee fare in New Hampshire's first in the nation primary?

Huckabee handily won the Iowa Caucuses in 2008, but then came in a distant third place in New Hampshire. It wasn't even close. Official election results show that John McCain racked up more than 88,000 votes. Mitt Romney got over 75,000. Only around 26,000 voters cast ballots for Huckabee.

It may be the Huckabee never saw his victory in the Iowa caucus coming and lacked the resources to mount the kind of long term grassroots campaign needed to be successful in New Hampshire. Or it could be that Granite State voters simply prefer moderate candidates like McCain, who won here in both of the last two competitive GOP primaries. Either way, Republican voters will have to choose a different candidate this time around, because McCain's not running.

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